← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Apr 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 71% | 1.32 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.94 |
| Le Havre AC win | 9% | 12.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC −1.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Ajaccio −1.5 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Matthis Abline · Le Havre AC |
| 9' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Courtet · Ajaccio |
| 21' | ⚽ | Mickaël Barreto · Ajaccio |
| 32' | 🟨 | Vincent Marchetti · Ajaccio |
| 44' | 🟨 | Himad Abdelli · Le Havre AC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Qazim Laci · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 668.00 | 1034.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1554.57 | 1487.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.39 | 12.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 63.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.65 |
| league points | 69.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 7.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 1.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.92 | 24.95 |
| state index | 0.84 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |