← Ligue 2 2021 · Mon, Apr 25, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Perreau Niel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 70% | 1.34 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.22 |
| Niort win | 10% | 10.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort −1.5 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Toulouse FC −1.5 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Brecht Dejaegere · Toulouse FC |
| 41' | 🟨 | Guy-Marcelin Kilama · Niort |
| 52' | 🟨 | Yohan Cassubie · Niort |
| 78' | ⚽ | Ado Onaiwu · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 328.00 | 693.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1671.87 | 1457.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.64 | 25.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.80 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| league points | 77.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 6.03 | 6.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.28 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.86 | 23.56 |
| state index | 1.01 | 0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |