← Ligue 2 2021 · Fri, Apr 22, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.92 |
| Paris FC win | 32% | 3.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Paris FC +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 39' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · Bastia |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ousmane Camara · Paris FC |
| 69' | 🟨 | Morgan Guilavogui · Paris FC |
| 81' | ⚽ | Moustapha Name · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 203.00 | 325.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1511.34 | 1583.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.55 | -2.96 |
| eye test v1 | -1.12 | -1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.76 |
| league points | 46.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 28.07 | 28.25 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |