← Ligue 2 2021 · Fri, Apr 22, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Schneider
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 48% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.96 |
| Valenciennes win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Ajaccio +0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.41 |
| Over | 32% | 2.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Vincent Marchetti · Ajaccio |
| 13' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Courtet · Ajaccio |
| 71' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 76' | 🟨 | Bevic Moussiti Oko · Ajaccio |
| 80' | 🟨 | Aymen Boutoutaou · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1056.00 | 660.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.75 |
| elo | 1390.03 | 1557.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.03 | 48.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 1.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.70 | 0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.80 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.85 |
| league points | 37.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 11.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.32 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 27.38 | 26.40 |
| state index | -1.07 | 1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |