← Ligue 2 2021 · Fri, Apr 22, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Wattellier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Guingamp win | 29% | 3.35 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
| Guingamp −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Dijon |
| 27' | ⚽ | Mihai Alexandru Dobre · Dijon |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mihai Alexandru Dobre · Dijon |
| 54' | ⚽ | Maxime Sivis · Guingamp |
| 59' | 🟨 | Jessy Pi · Dijon |
| 63' | 🟨 | Souleymane Diarra · Guingamp |
| 80' | ⚽ (pen) | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tristan Muyumba · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 25 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dijon | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Gérard |
| coach days | 264.00 | 356.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.81 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1463.53 | 1501.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.51 | 43.10 |
| eye test v1 | -1.03 | 0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 45.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 29.17 | 27.00 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |