← Ligue 2 2021 · Tue, Apr 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.19 |
| Caen win | 27% | 3.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Paris FC −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Warren Caddy · Paris FC |
| 26' | ⚽ | Moustapha Name · Paris FC |
| 42' | 🟨 | Cyril Mandouki · Paris FC |
| 58' | 🟨 | Lamine Sy · Caen |
| 74' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 89' | 🟨 | Djibril Diani · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days | 322.00 | 322.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.20 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1576.96 | 1501.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.11 | 39.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.88 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.56 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 66.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 29.07 | 27.23 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.01 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |