← Ligue 2 2021 · Tue, Apr 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35% | 2.70 |
| Valenciennes win | 33% | 3.10 |
| Grenoble win | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Valenciennes +0 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Abiezer Jeno · Grenoble |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Jordan Tell · Grenoble |
| 45' | 🟨 | Florian Michel · Grenoble |
| 63' | 🟨 | Allan Linguet · Valenciennes |
| 65' | 🟨 | Manuel De Iriondo · Grenoble |
| 83' | 🟨 | Franck Bambock · Grenoble |
| 85' | ⚽ | Joris Correa · Grenoble |
| 88' | ⚽ | Achille Anani · Grenoble |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.13 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 139.00 | 1053.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1439.11 | 1402.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.17 | -18.82 |
| eye test v1 | -1.11 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | — |
| league points | 39.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.21 | -0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.27 | 26.22 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |