← Ligue 2 2021 · Tue, Apr 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.06 |
| Pau FC win | 20% | 5.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.75 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Pau FC −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Yoann Cathline · Guingamp |
| 32' | 🟨 | Souleymane Diarra · Guingamp |
| 40' | ⚽ | Yannick Gomis · Guingamp |
| 43' | 🟨 | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
| 53' | 🟨 | Jean Lambert Evan's Allan · Pau FC |
| 59' | ⚽ | Maxime Barthelmé · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stephen Quemper · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pierre Lemonnier · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 353.00 | 657.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1489.58 | 1437.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.85 | -18.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.78 |
| league points | 47.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.60 | 26.75 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |