← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Apr 16, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 39% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| Guingamp win | 27% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Bastia −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.46 |
| Over | 33% | 2.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · Bastia |
| 51' | 🟨 | El-Hadji Ba · Guingamp |
| 53' | 🟨 | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 57' | ⚽ | Amine Talal · Bastia |
| 62' | ⚽ | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
| 74' | ⚽ | Frantzdy Pierrot · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 197.00 | 350.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.85 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1524.15 | 1476.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.16 | 15.15 |
| eye test v1 | -1.40 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| league points | 45.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.35 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.04 | 26.79 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |