← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Apr 16, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Le Havre AC win | 24% | 4.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Le Havre AC −0.25 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Matthis Abline · Le Havre AC |
| 15' | 🟨 | Lucas Chevalier · Valenciennes |
| 75' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 81' | 🟨 | Allan Linguet · Valenciennes |
| 81' | 🟨 | Matthis Abline · Le Havre AC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Amir Richardson · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1050.00 | 1020.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1412.81 | 1472.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.50 | -48.39 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| league points | 37.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | 1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.00 | 25.57 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |