← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Apr 16, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Varela
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Amiens win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens −0.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Caen −0.75 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | ⚽ | Prince Oniangué · Caen |
| 56' | 🟨 | Owen Gene · Amiens |
| 59' | ⚽ | Tolu Arokodare · Amiens |
| 74' | 🟨 | Bongani Zungu · Amiens |
| 77' | 🟨 | Owen Gene · Amiens |
| 77' | 🟥 | Owen Gene · Amiens |
| 89' | 🟨 | Mateo Pavlović · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 319.00 | 319.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1502.99 | 1501.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 65.75 | 6.46 |
| eye test v1 | 0.82 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 66.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| league points | 46.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.37 | 25.64 |
| state index | 0.96 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |