← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Apr 9, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Varela
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Dunkerque win | 21% | 4.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Le Havre AC −0.5 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 37% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Himad Abdelli · Le Havre AC |
| 41' | 🟨 | Arouna Sangante · Le Havre AC |
| 50' | 🟨 | Victor Lekhal · Le Havre AC |
| 50' | 🟨 | Mohamed Ouadah · Dunkerque |
| 63' | 🟨 | Jeremy Huysman · Dunkerque |
| 68' | 🟨 | Himad Abdelli · Le Havre AC |
| 71' | ⚽ | Marco Ludivin Majouga · Dunkerque |
| 89' | ⚽ | Himad Abdelli · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 1013.00 | 708.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1465.87 | 1393.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -41.84 | -17.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | -1.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.73 |
| league points | 47.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 1.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.32 | 28.16 |
| state index | -0.68 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |