← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Apr 9, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Miguelgorry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.14 |
| Grenoble win | 24% | 4.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Caen +0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.54 |
| Over | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 80' | 🟨 | Lamine Sy · Caen |
| 82' | 🟨 | Yoann Court · Caen |
| 82' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 88' | 🟨 | Orges Bunjaku · Grenoble |
| 90' | ⚽ | Benjamin Jeannot · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 129.00 | 312.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 3.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1435.59 | 1487.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.45 | 42.23 |
| eye test v1 | -1.50 | 0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.69 |
| league points | 36.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.87 | 26.26 |
| state index | -0.31 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |