← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Apr 9, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Perreau Niel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 54% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.29 |
| Pau FC win | 15% | 6.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.75 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Ajaccio −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over | 33% | 2.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Samuel Essende · Pau FC |
| 59' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Ajaccio |
| 63' | 🟨 | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Ajaccio |
| 69' | 🟨 | Romain Armand · Pau FC |
| 69' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Ajaccio |
| 90' | ⚽ | David Gomis · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 5 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 647.00 | 647.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1529.19 | 1458.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.31 | 1.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.80 |
| league points | 59.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 4.93 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.53 | 26.32 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.02 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |