← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Apr 9, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Guingamp win | 23% | 4.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Toulouse FC +0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Rafael Ratão · Toulouse FC |
| 31' | ⚽ | El-Hadji Ba · Guingamp |
| 34' | ⚽ | Mehdi Merghem · Guingamp |
| 38' | ⚽ | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 40' | 🟨 | Mikkel Desler · Toulouse FC |
| 48' | ⚽ | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Rafael Ratão · Toulouse FC |
| 68' | 🟨 | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
| 72' | 🟨 | Mehdi Merghem · Guingamp |
| 74' | 🟨 | Stephen Quemper · Guingamp |
| 75' | ⚽ | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 81' | 🟨 | Souleymane Diarra · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.53 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 343.00 | 312.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1487.03 | 1655.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.80 | 7.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | 1.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.50 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| league points | 44.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 86.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 62.80 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | 1.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 26.92 | 25.05 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | 1.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |