← Ligue 2 2021 · Mon, Apr 4, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Bollengier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 39% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.83 |
| Nancy win | 26% | 3.73 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ajaccio +0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.38 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 57' | 🟨 | Oumar Gonzalez · Ajaccio |
| 59' | 🟨 | Qazim Laci · Ajaccio |
| 68' | ⚽ | Mounaim El Idrissy · Ajaccio |
| 71' | 🟥 | William Bianda · Nancy |
| 75' | 🟨 | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
| 85' | ⚽ | Cyrille Bayala · Ajaccio |
| 89' | 🟨 | Mickaël Biron · Nancy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 93.00 | 642.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 1.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1387.10 | 1517.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.92 | 1.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.90 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.88 |
| league points | 23.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 16.03 | 16.03 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.63 | 27.79 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | 1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |