← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Apr 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Schneider
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Bastia win | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Bastia +0 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ | Frank Magri · Bastia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Jubal · AJ Auxerre |
| 64' | 🟨 | Julien Le Cardinal · Bastia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mohamed Ben Fredj · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 183.00 | 1006.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1523.27 | 1574.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.41 | 23.72 |
| eye test v1 | -1.05 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.60 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 43.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 14.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.92 | 0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 29.85 | 28.16 |
| state index | 0.09 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |