← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Apr 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Baert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Amiens win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Amiens +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Chadrac Akolo · Amiens |
| 33' | ⚽ | Chadrac Akolo · Amiens |
| 41' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 67' | 🟨 | Mathis Picouleau · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.63 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1036.00 | 305.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1432.49 | 1487.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.23 | -1.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 70.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| league points | 37.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.34 | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 26.15 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |