← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Apr 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Delajod
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 56% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Dunkerque win | 17% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Caen −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Bilal Brahimi · Dunkerque |
| 36' | ⚽ | Yoann Court · Caen |
| 39' | 🟨 | Brahim Traoré · Caen |
| 43' | 🟨 | Yoann Court · Caen |
| 49' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 51' | 🟨 | Emeric Dudouit · Dunkerque |
| 71' | ⚽ | Malik Tchokounte · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 305.00 | 701.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 1.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1481.52 | 1399.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 46.85 | -1.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 40.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 14.13 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.29 | 28.31 |
| state index | 0.60 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |