← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Mar 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Schneider
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.76 |
| Dunkerque win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Dunkerque +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 71% | 1.37 |
| Over | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Allan Linguet · Valenciennes |
| 81' | ⚽ | Adama Niane · Dunkerque |
| 84' | ⚽ | Aymen Boutoutaou · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 22 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 687.00 | 1022.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1411.27 | 1421.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.33 | 14.48 |
| eye test v1 | -1.00 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.74 |
| league points | 31.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 65.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -1.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 1.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.58 | 27.77 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |