← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Mar 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Pau FC win | 20% | 4.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Pau FC −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Yoan Koré · Paris FC |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jaouen Hadjam · Paris FC |
| 60' | ⚽ | Romain Armand · Pau FC |
| 76' | 🟨 | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Khalid Boutaïb · Paris FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Romain Armand · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.41 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days | 291.00 | 626.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1586.20 | 1443.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.23 | -14.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| league points | 61.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.15 | 26.45 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |