← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Mar 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.81 |
| Grenoble win | 27% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Bastia +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.41 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Bastia |
| 52' | ⚽ | Achille Anani · Grenoble |
| 60' | 🟨 | Manuel Perez · Grenoble |
| 65' | 🟨 | Yacouba Sylla · Bastia |
| 74' | ⚽ | Julien Le Cardinal · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 108.00 | 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1442.38 | 1523.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.50 |
| eye test v1 | -1.40 | -1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.76 |
| league points | 35.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.84 | 27.37 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |