← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Mar 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 57% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 |
| Nimes win | 15% | 7.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.75 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Nimes −0.75 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | ⚽ | Qazim Laci · Ajaccio |
| 86' | 🟨 | Oumar Gonzalez · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yassine Benrahou · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 3 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 626.00 | 411.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1509.13 | 1500.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.21 | -1.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.82 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | -0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.20 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| league points | 53.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 29.19 | 25.04 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |