← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Mar 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Miguelgorry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Nancy win | 24% | 4.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Guingamp −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Baptiste Roux · Guingamp |
| 36' | 🟨 | William Bianda · Nancy |
| 37' | ⚽ | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
| 56' | ⚽ | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jérémy Livolant · Guingamp |
| 76' | ⚽ | Saliou Ciss · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 322.00 | 77.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1458.52 | 1397.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.29 | 18.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.90 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.59 |
| league points | 38.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.97 | 25.16 |
| state index | -0.40 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |