← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Mar 19, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Vernice
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 36% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.87 |
| Le Havre AC win | 31% | 3.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Le Havre AC +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.49 |
| Over | 35% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Ismaël Boura · Le Havre AC |
| 34' | 🟨 | Nuno Da Costa · Caen |
| 38' | ⚽ | Nuno Da Costa · Caen |
| 44' | 🟨 | Amir Richardson · Le Havre AC |
| 50' | 🟨 | Johann Lepenant · Caen |
| 56' | 🟨 | Djibril Diani · Caen |
| 58' | 🟨 | Matthis Abline · Le Havre AC |
| 64' | 🟨 | Prince Oniangué · Caen |
| 71' | ⚽ | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
| 76' | 🟨 | Jamal Thiaré · Le Havre AC |
| 77' | 🟨 | Saël Kumbedi · Le Havre AC |
| 80' | 🟥 | Saël Kumbedi · Le Havre AC |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 84' | 🟨 | Quentin Cornette · Le Havre AC |
| 85' | ⚽ | Benjamin Jeannot · Caen |
| 86' | ⚽ | Matthis Abline · Le Havre AC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Pierre Gibaud · Le Havre AC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Souleymane Isaak Touré · Le Havre AC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 9 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 992.00 | 291.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 3.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1493.73 | 1462.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.34 | 20.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| league points | 47.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 3.83 | 3.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.74 | 27.30 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |