← Ligue 2 2021 · Tue, Mar 15, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Perreau Niel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Dunkerque win | 19% | 5.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Dunkerque −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Alioune Ba · Dunkerque |
| 14' | 🟨 | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 21' | ⚽ | Amine Talal · Bastia |
| 58' | 🟨 | Lloyd Palun · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Roncaglia · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 165.00 | 683.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1518.22 | 1416.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.78 | 16.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.89 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 59.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.80 |
| league points | 39.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 3.17 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 1.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.53 | 28.11 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |