← Ligue 2 2021 · Tue, Mar 15, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Vernice
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Grenoble win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −0.5 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Pau FC −0.5 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Mahamadou Dembele · Pau FC |
| 27' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Pau FC |
| 28' | 🟨 | Eddy Sylvestre · Pau FC |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Yoric Ravet · Grenoble |
| 34' | 🟨 | Abdel Hakim Abdallah · Grenoble |
| 46' | 🟨 | Romain Armand · Pau FC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Jordy Gaspar · Grenoble |
| 64' | 🟨 | Jordy Gaspar · Grenoble |
| 64' | 🟥 | Jordy Gaspar · Grenoble |
| 71' | 🟨 | Loïc Nestor · Grenoble |
| 77' | 🟨 | Brice Maubleu · Grenoble |
| 80' | 🟨 | Xavier Kouassi · Pau FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Achille Anani · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 23 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 622.00 | 104.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1456.27 | 1429.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.88 | -0.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -1.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
| league points | 38.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.31 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 26.11 | 27.08 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |