← Ligue 2 2021 · Tue, Mar 15, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 35% | 2.88 |
| Valenciennes win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Valenciennes +0 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.50 |
| Over | 35% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Nuno Da Costa · Caen |
| 24' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
| 42' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mohamed Kaba · Valenciennes |
| 59' | 🟨 | Sambou Yatabare · Valenciennes |
| 59' | 🟨 | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ibrahim Cisse · Caen |
| 89' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 26 | Fouls | 24 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1018.00 | 287.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 3.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1421.61 | 1462.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.79 | 40.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| league points | 33.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.22 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.08 | 27.30 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |