← Ligue 2 2021 · Tue, Mar 15, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 66% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.50 |
| Amiens win | 13% | 8.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens −1.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Toulouse FC −1.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 12' | ⚽ (og) | Formose Mendy · Toulouse FC |
| 18' | 🟨 | Rasmus Nicolaisen · Toulouse FC |
| 27' | 🟨 | Harouna Sy · Amiens |
| 30' | ⚽ | Nathan N'Goumou · Toulouse FC |
| 31' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Lomotey · Amiens |
| 53' | ⚽ | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 58' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Lomotey · Amiens |
| 58' | 🟥 | Emmanuel Lomotey · Amiens |
| 67' | 🟨 | Moussa Diarra · Toulouse FC |
| 70' | ⚽ | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 84' | ⚽ | Mamady Bangré · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 10 |
| 14 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.60 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 287.00 | 287.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1628.32 | 1500.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.93 | 24.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.76 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 65.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| league points | 58.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.61 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.94 | 25.49 |
| state index | 0.71 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.60 | 0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |