← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Mar 12, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Varela
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.87 |
| Dunkerque win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Dunkerque +0 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.76 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Malik Tchokounte · Dunkerque |
| 45' | 🟨 | Erwin Koffi · Pau FC |
| 55' | 🟨 | Victor Lobry · Pau FC |
| 64' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Zakaria Naidji · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 680.00 | 619.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1406.96 | 1466.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.70 | 23.36 |
| eye test v1 | -1.15 | -0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.66 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.74 |
| league points | 28.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 4.93 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 1.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 28.22 | 26.47 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |