← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Mar 12, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Nimes win | 25% | 4.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Le Havre AC −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Lamine Fomba · Nimes |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Yassine Benrahou · Nimes |
| 75' | 🟨 | Kelyan Guessoum · Nimes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 3 |
| 11 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 985.00 | 404.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1520.63 | 1497.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.99 | -40.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.70 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| league points | 47.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 24.38 | 26.53 |
| state index | -0.08 | -0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |