← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Mar 12, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Vernice
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Dijon win | 32% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Dijon +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Cheik Traoré · Dijon |
| 14' | 🟨 | Quentin Lecoeuche · Valenciennes |
| 22' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Valenciennes |
| 30' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 39' | 🟨 | Allan Linguet · Valenciennes |
| 42' | 🟨 | Jessy Pi · Dijon |
| 61' | 🟥 | Senou Coulibaly · Dijon |
| 82' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1015.00 | 223.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1422.32 | 1457.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.51 | -19.11 |
| eye test v1 | -0.18 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| league points | 32.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.22 | 28.68 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | -0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |