← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Mar 12, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Caen win | 26% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Caen +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 31' | ⚽ | Yoann Court · Caen |
| 32' | 🟨 | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
| 48' | ⚽ | Rafael Ratão · Toulouse FC |
| 51' | ⚽ | Prince Oniangué · Caen |
| 71' | ⚽ | Nuno Da Costa · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 284.00 | 284.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.03 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1437.25 | 1653.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.08 | 40.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.79 |
| league points | 33.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 62.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 2.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | 1.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.26 | 24.80 |
| state index | 0.25 | 1.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | 1.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |