← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Mar 5, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Schneider
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Caen win | 27% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Dijon −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.50 |
| Over | 35% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ | Mickaël Le Bihan · Dijon |
| 61' | 🟨 | Lucas Deaux · Dijon |
| 63' | 🟨 | Hugo Vandermersch · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dijon | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Gérard |
| coach days | 216.00 | 277.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 4.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1449.60 | 1445.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.63 | 7.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| league points | 33.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.97 | 26.76 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.73 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |