← Ligue 2 2021 · Mon, Feb 28, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 60% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.07 |
| Grenoble win | 15% | 6.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +1 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Toulouse FC +1 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Manuel Perez · Grenoble |
| 27' | 🟨 | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 39' | 🟨 | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Souleymane Cissé · Grenoble |
| 74' | ⚽ | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 84' | ⚽ | Nathan N'Goumou · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 11 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 89.00 | 272.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1430.05 | 1639.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.10 | 32.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 49.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.75 |
| league points | 28.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 9.07 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 1.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.69 | 24.66 |
| state index | -0.72 | 1.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |