← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Feb 26, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Varela
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Nancy win | 27% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Le Havre AC −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Nabil Alioui · Le Havre AC |
| 15' | 🟨 | Thomas Basila · Nancy |
| 40' | 🟨 | Ismaël Boura · Le Havre AC |
| 50' | 🟨 | Antonin Bobichon · Nancy |
| 63' | 🟨 | Thomas Fontaine · Nancy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 971.00 | 56.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1488.39 | 1393.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.80 | -3.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.30 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 38.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 4.93 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 0.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.56 | 26.35 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |