← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Feb 26, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Lepaysant
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Pau FC win | 30% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Valenciennes −0.25 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Mahamadou Dembele · Pau FC |
| 66' | ⚽ | Floyd Ayité · Valenciennes |
| 71' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ugo Bonnet · Valenciennes |
| 75' | 🟨 | Allan Linguet · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 24 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1001.00 | 605.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1408.25 | 1466.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.84 | 11.77 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 28.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | -0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.61 | 26.04 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |