← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Feb 26, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Vernice
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.94 |
| Rodez win | 17% | 6.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Rodez −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 73% | 1.34 |
| Over | 27% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Ajaccio |
| 33' | ⚽ | Arni Vilhjalmsson · Rodez |
| 38' | 🟨 | Vincent Marchetti · Ajaccio |
| 40' | 🟨 | Bradley Danger · Rodez |
| 45' | ⚽ | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
| 61' | 🟨 | Julien Celestine · Rodez |
| 67' | 🟨 | Pierre Bardy · Rodez |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jean-Philippe Krasso · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 605.00 | 2432.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1508.93 | 1442.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.03 | -33.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.98 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.10 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.89 | 0.81 |
| league points | 45.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 7.17 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | -0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.19 | 25.59 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |