← Ligue 2 2021 · Mon, Feb 21, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Vernice
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Le Havre AC win | 14% | 7.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC −1 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Toulouse FC −1 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Stijn Spierings · Toulouse FC |
| 22' | 🟨 | Victor Lekhal · Le Havre AC |
| 23' | ⚽ | Rasmus Nicolaisen · Toulouse FC |
| 27' | ⚽ | Ado Onaiwu · Toulouse FC |
| 47' | 🟨 | Alexandre Bonnet · Le Havre AC |
| 48' | ⚽ (pen) | Branco van den Boomen · Toulouse FC |
| 71' | 🟨 | Rhys Healey · Toulouse FC |
| 80' | ⚽ | Nathan N'Goumou · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 265.00 | 966.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1630.38 | 1497.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.18 | -29.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.79 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.77 |
| league points | 49.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 9.24 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.42 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.66 | 24.05 |
| state index | 1.05 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.81 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |