← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Feb 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 50% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
| Dunkerque win | 21% | 5.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nancy −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Dunkerque −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.57 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Thomas Basila · Nancy |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mamadou Thiam · Nancy |
| 51' | 🟨 | Demba Thiam · Dunkerque |
| 62' | ⚽ | Mamadou Thiam · Nancy |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jeremy Huysman · Dunkerque |
| 79' | 🟨 | Redouane Kerrouche · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Picot |
| coach days | 49.00 | 659.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1379.03 | 1415.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.24 | 25.99 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -1.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| league points | 17.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.68 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 1.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.20 |
| squad age | 26.25 | 27.59 |
| state index | -0.98 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |