← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Feb 19, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Miguelgorry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 35% | 2.83 |
| Guingamp win | 34% | 2.83 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Guingamp +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Mahamé Siby · Paris FC |
| 33' | 🟨 | Youssouf M'Changama · Guingamp |
| 71' | ⚽ | Julien López · Paris FC |
| 88' | 🟨 | Tristan Muyumba · Guingamp |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yannick Gomis · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 294.00 | 263.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1462.61 | 1600.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.26 | 32.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.86 |
| league points | 31.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 2.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.19 | 28.68 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |