← Ligue 2 2021 · Mon, Feb 14, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: J. Miguelgorry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 37% | 2.61 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.97 |
| Bastia win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.25 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Le Havre AC −0.25 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.43 |
| Over | 32% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Johny Placide · Bastia |
| 9' | ⚽ (pen) | Himad Abdelli · Le Havre AC |
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Matthis Abline · Le Havre AC |
| 24' | ⚽ | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 29' | ⚽ | Kevin Schur · Bastia |
| 56' | ⚽ | Frank Magri · Bastia |
| 62' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · Bastia |
| 70' | 🟨 | Souleymane Isaak Touré · Le Havre AC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Anthony Roncaglia · Bastia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Anthony Robic · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 959.00 | 136.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1515.64 | 1506.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.93 | 6.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.20 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| league points | 38.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 9.07 | 9.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 23.41 | 29.79 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |