← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Feb 12, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Bollengier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 57% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 |
| Nancy win | 18% | 5.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre −0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Nancy −0.75 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Mamadou Thiam · Nancy |
| 33' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Charbonnier · AJ Auxerre |
| 38' | 🟨 | Théo Pellenard · AJ Auxerre |
| 41' | 🟨 | Mathias Autret · AJ Auxerre |
| 45' | 🟨 | Neil El Aynaoui · Nancy |
| 45' | ⚽ | Gauthier Hein · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps |
| coach days | 957.00 | 42.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 2.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1542.47 | 1373.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.89 | -29.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.90 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.90 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| league points | 39.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.18 | -0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.16 | 26.43 |
| state index | -0.17 | -1.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.19 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |