← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Feb 12, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
| Nimes win | 26% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Nimes −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Nuno Da Costa · Caen |
| 18' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 24' | 🟨 | Moussa Koné · Nimes |
| 45' | 🟥 | Moustapha Mbow · Nimes |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 56' | ⚽ | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 81' | 🟨 | Brahim Traoré · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 256.00 | 376.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.14 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1421.52 | 1523.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.71 | 8.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 64.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.81 |
| league points | 27.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 23.97 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |