← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Feb 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Varela
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.45 |
| Valenciennes win | 23% | 4.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Toulouse FC +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Sambou Yatabare · Valenciennes |
| 10' | ⚽ | Anthony Rouault · Toulouse FC |
| 41' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Robail · Valenciennes |
| 54' | ⚽ | Rafael Ratão · Toulouse FC |
| 57' | ⚽ | Ugo Bonnet · Valenciennes |
| 73' | 🟨 | Quentin Lecoeuche · Valenciennes |
| 83' | ⚽ | Anthony Rouault · Toulouse FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 5 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Toulouse FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 987.00 | 256.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 3.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1413.81 | 1621.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.82 | 17.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 47.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.77 |
| league points | 26.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 62.00 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | 1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 24.58 | 24.68 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |