← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Feb 5, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 51% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.32 |
| Pau FC win | 20% | 5.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Pau FC −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 48' | 🟨 | Frank Magri · Bastia |
| 50' | ⚽ | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 55' | 🟨 | Samuel Essende · Pau FC |
| 56' | ⚽ | Samuel Essende · Pau FC |
| 67' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 74' | 🟨 | Yohan Bocognano · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 127.00 | 584.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1509.95 | 1442.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.01 | -21.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 64.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.70 |
| league points | 30.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.49 | 26.67 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |