← Ligue 2 2021 · Sat, Feb 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Bollengier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse FC win | 54% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Dijon win | 20% | 5.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Toulouse FC −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Nathan N'Goumou · Toulouse FC |
| 33' | ⚽ | Aurelien Scheidler · Dijon |
| 44' | ⚽ | Rasmus Nicolaisen · Toulouse FC |
| 50' | 🟨 | Senou Coulibaly · Dijon |
| 57' | 🟨 | Bafodé Diakité · Toulouse FC |
| 65' | ⚽ | Rafael Ratão · Toulouse FC |
| 81' | ⚽ | Ado Onaiwu · Toulouse FC |
| 84' | 🟨 | Adama Fofana · Dijon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Toulouse FC | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadium de Toulouse |
| coach days | 249.00 | 188.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 3.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1612.84 | 1476.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.10 | 40.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.30 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| league points | 43.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 13.83 | 13.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.02 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 24.78 | 27.41 |
| state index | 0.64 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |