← Ligue 2 2021 · Fri, Jan 28, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Vernice
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| AJ Auxerre win | 29% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Paul Joly · AJ Auxerre |
| 35' | 🟨 | Donovan Léon · AJ Auxerre |
| 48' | 🟨 | Clement Vidal · Ajaccio |
| 60' | 🟨 | Vincent Marchetti · Ajaccio |
| 70' | 🟨 | Vincent Marchetti · Ajaccio |
| 70' | 🟥 | Vincent Marchetti · Ajaccio |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jubal · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.57 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 576.00 | 942.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1520.52 | 1554.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.48 | -15.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | 0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 70.70 | 65.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 41.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 3.93 | 20.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | 1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 28.48 | 28.25 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | 1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |