← Ligue 2 2021 · Fri, Jan 28, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Lissorgue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Valenciennes win | 27% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Valenciennes −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Mathis Picouleau · Valenciennes |
| 11' | ⚽ (pen) | Yassine Benrahou · Nimes |
| 16' | ⚽ | Julien Ponceau · Nimes |
| 42' | 🟨 | Lamine Fomba · Nimes |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 62' | 🟨 | Baptiste Guillaume · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade des Costières |
| coach days | 361.00 | 972.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1515.82 | 1399.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.01 | 7.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.87 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 48.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.61 |
| league points | 29.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 20.00 | 20.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.08 | 26.41 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |