← Ligue 2 2021 · Fri, Jan 28, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Baert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.05 |
| Niort win | 23% | 4.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Niort −0.5 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Caen −0.5 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Sissoko · Niort |
| 6' | 🟨 | Joris Moutachy · Niort |
| 45' | 🟨 | Yohan Cassubie · Niort |
| 48' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Sissoko · Niort |
| 52' | 🟨 | Anthony Gonçalves · Caen |
| 66' | 🟨 | Nuno Da Costa · Caen |
| 85' | 🟨 | Steve Shamal · Caen |
| 90' | 🟥 | Yoann Court · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 14 | Corners | 0 |
| 22 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 241.00 | 606.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 1.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1438.30 | 1448.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.97 | 3.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.76 |
| league points | 26.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 3.93 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.99 | 24.28 |
| state index | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |